Category:Diplomacy - Wikipedia, the free e

pstp forp Holbrooke's Legacy: The Power of Limited War http://www.time.com/time... - Thomas Page

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki..., Iran Contra http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , Wimp Factor , Wag the Dog [[[ 12 -6 American Dynasty: Aristocracy, Fortune, and the Politics of Deceit in the House of Bush http://www.nytimes.com/2004... 12 -12 I voted for GeorgeHWBush 1st term not 2nd term [ W 1st no 2nd hell no - Thomas Page

Warren Christopher http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... - Thomas Page

Kyoto Protocol http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , http://roomfordebate.blogs.nytimes.com/2010... , http://wonkroom.thinkprogress.org/2010... , - Thomas Page

George J. Mitchell http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... - Thomas Page

Cordell Hull http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , 12 -7 http://edsitement.neh.gov/lesson-... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , 12 -12 http://onpoint.wbur.org/2012... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki.... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , 1 -15 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... 12 -24 http://friendfeed.com/citizen... - Thomas Page

Dr Strangelove http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... google dick cheney dr. strangelove http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://www.charlierose.com/view... , 2 -18 http://www.thedailyshow.com/watch... , 3 -6 http://www.nytimes.com/2013... , 4 -23 sort Vice President Nathan R. Jessup - Thomas Page

Monroe Doctrine Banana Republics http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... Cuba 2 -17 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... - Thomas Page

Citizen Diplomacy 2 -17 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... One of the pioneers of citizen diplomacy, physicist Robert W. Fuller http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , traveled frequently to the Soviet Union in the 1970s and 1980s in the effort to alleviate the Cold War. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, Dr. Fuller continued this work in political hot spots around the world and developed the idea of reducing rankism http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... to promote peace. The phrase "citizen diplomacy" was first coined by David Hoffman in an article about Dr. Fuller's work which appeared in Co-Evolution Quarterly http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... in 1981. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , Rick Steves http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , 5 -11 sort Facebook diplomacy http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... 6 -28 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... - Thomas Page

North Korean cultural exchange http://www.nytimes.com/2009... http://www.pyongyangproject.org/about_u... http://www.culturaldiplomacy.org/cultura... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , 3 -18 Media attempts to ridicule such? , 3 -19 sort http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , 3 -30 http://www.wired.com/beyond_... , 4 -5 Why Do We Laugh at North Korea But Fear Iran? http://www.theatlantic.com/interna... , 4 -6 sort http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news... - Thomas Page

Missions; 9 -5 [ diplomatic tools http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://diplomacy.state.gov/discove... http://www.sparknotes.com/us-gove... http://www.fpri.org/footnot... , [ walk soft carry a big stick http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... everything looks like a nail http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... swordsmanship http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... tools ... 9 -27 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... - Thomas Page

Infrastructure; Embassies, Consolutes, Outposts, ... , 7 -30 John Hunter: "World Peace And Other 4th-Grade Achievements" http://thedianerehmshow.org/shows... http://www.ted.com/speaker... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... - Thomas Page

Woodrow Wilson http://www.npr.org/2013... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , 9 -20 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... - Thomas Page

1 -31 danny kaye http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://www.cbsnews.com/news... - Thomas Page

11 -6 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... List of world expositions http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... [[ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... - Thomas Page

Supermarket 12 -6 [ Mikhail Gorbachev http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... Gorbachev was born on 2 March 1931 in Stavropol, Russian SFSR, Soviet Union, into a mixed Russian-Ukrainian family[8] of migrants from Voronezh and Chernigov Governorates. As a child, Gorbachev experienced the Soviet famine of 1932–1933. He recalled in a memoir that "In that terrible year [in 1933] nearly half the population of my native village, Privolnoye, starved to death, including two sisters and one brother of my father."[9] Both of his grandfathers were arrested on false charges in the 1930s; his paternal grandfather Andrey Moiseyevich Gorbachev (Андрей Моисеевич Горбачев) was sent to exile in Siberia.[10][11] His father was a combine harvester operator and World War II veteran, named Sergey Andreyevich Gorbachev. His mother, Maria Panteleyevna Gorbacheva (née Gopkalo), was a kolkhoz worker.[11] In his teens, he operated combine harvesters on collective farms. He graduated from Moscow State University in 1955 with a degree in law. In 1967 he qualified as an agricultural economist via a correspondence masters degree at the Stavropol Institute of Agriculture. While at the university, he joined the Communist Party of the Soviet Union and soon became very active within the party. Gorbachev met his future wife, Raisa Titarenko, at Moscow State University. They married in September 1953 and moved to Stavropol upon graduation. She gave birth to their only child, daughter Irina Mikhailovna Virganskaya (Ири́на Миха́йловна Вирга́нская), in 1957. Raisa Gorbacheva died of leukemia in 1999.[12] Gorbachev has two granddaughters (Ksenia and Anastasia) and one great granddaughter (Aleksandra). [[ culture exchanges agriculture 12 -24 http://www.cracked.com/article... [[[ 3 -1 ~ In 1970, he was appointed First Party Secretary of the Stavropol Kraikom, a body of the CPSU, becoming one of the youngest provincial party chiefs in the nation.[9] In this position he helped reorganise the collective farms, improve workers' living conditions, expand the size of their private plots, and gave them a greater voice in planning.[9] ~ Gorbachev's positions within the CPSU created more opportunities to travel abroad, and this would profoundly affect his political and social views in the future as leader of the country. In 1972, he headed a Soviet delegation to Belgium,[9] and three years later he led a delegation to West Germany; in 1983 he headed a delegation to Canada to meet with Prime Minister Pierre Trudeau and members of the Commons and Senate. In 1984, he travelled to the United Kingdom, where he met British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher. ~ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... [[[[ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... [[[[[[ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... ({[ 5 -3 contrast with Reagan Cold War hero victor narrative - Oligarch destruction of governing mechanism evolution? ]}) 6 -2 WN Obama Gorbachev http://article.wn.com/view... - Thomas Page

Culture exchanges { Athletics ... { 6 -28 Agricultural Robert_Rodale http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... - Thomas Page

12 -8 American President Theodore Roosevelt offered to mediate, and earned a Nobel Peace Prize for his effort. Sergius Witte led the Russian delegation and Baron Komura, a graduate of Harvard, led the Japanese Delegation. The Treaty of Portsmouth was signed on 5 September 1905.[39] at the Portsmouth Naval Shipyard in Portsmouth, New Hampshire. Witte became Russian Prime Minister the same year. After courting the Japanese, Roosevelt decided to support the Tsar's refusal to pay indemnities, a move that policymakers in Tokyo interpreted as signifying that the United States had more than a passing interest in Asian affairs. Russia recognized Korea as part of the Japanese sphere of influence and agreed to evacuate Manchuria. Japan would annex Korea in 1910, with scant protest from other powers.[40] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... [[[ 12 -25 http://www.booktv.org/Program... League of Nation failures in Asia? - Thomas Page

12 -9 NAFTA http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... Trans-Pacific Partnership Negotiation secrecy http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... Sort http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013... http://www.openculture.com/2013... - Thomas Page

12 -6 Nelson Mandela [[ 12 -28 "The Brothers: John Foster Dulles, Allen Dulles, and Their Secret World War" http://www.booktv.org/Program... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinion... http://www.nytimes.com/2013... http://www.npr.org/2013... - Thomas Page

5 -5 Economic Hit Men ??? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... - Thomas Page

3 -1 History of Ukraine http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... - Thomas Page

1936 - 1939 ??? [[[ Who will control the modern Silk Road? - Thomas Page

5 -5 Declaring Victory and going home? http://rationalwiki.org/wiki... http://smallwarsjournal.com/jrnl... Beyond Declaring Victory and Coming Home: The Challenges of Peace and Stability Operations > The political practice of declaring victory and coming home has provided a false and dangerous domestic impression of great success for U.S. unilateral and multilateral interventions in failing and failed states around the world. The reality of such irresponsibility is that the root causes and the violent consequences of contemporary intranational conflict are left to smolder and reignite at a later date with the accompanying human and physical waste. This book discusses why it is incumbent on the international community and individual powers involved in dealing with the chaos of the post-Cold War world to understand that such action requires a long-term, holistic, and strategic approach. The intent of such an approach is to create and establish the proven internal conditions that can lead to a mandated peace and stability—with justice. The key elements that define those conditions at the strategic level include: (1) the physical establishment of order and the rule of law; (2) the isolation of belligerents; (3) the regeneration of the economy; (4) the shaping of political consent; (5) fostering peaceful conflict resolution processes; (6) achieving a complete unity of effort toward stability; and (7) establishment and maintenance of a legitimate civil society. These essential dimensions of contemporary global security and stability requirements comprise a new paradigm that will, hopefully, initiate the process of rethinking both problem and response. http://books.google.com/books... - Thomas Page

Shirley Temple http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... - Thomas Page

4 -3 Leave someone holding the bag? Diplo Econ maneuvering ? Wall Street? 12 -15 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... - Thomas Page

4 -3 Putin ? - Bush , Spy vs Spy , Oligarch vs Plutocrat , ... vs ... , I see something in his soul. Sort http://www.nybooks.com/blogs... http://en.wikiquote.org/wiki... http://www.nytimes.com/2014... http://www.dailykos.com/story... - Thomas Page

Cold shoulder diplomacy. Lame? Effectiveness? ??? https://friendfeed.com/citizen... ? Lay down the Law? - Thomas Page

Charlie Rose Diplomacy shows [ [[ Former Secretary of State [[[ Professional Career Diplomats , Statesmen ticket punchers http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... ? Punditry Axe Grinders ? McCarthyite troublemakers? 8 -17 Fareed_Zakaria http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... - Thomas Page

Gun boaters, Swiftboaters, Bushwackers, Wag the Dog ers , Homelanders [ Conflict management for Politics rather than ? Best of possible resolutions ? Win Win? ( sabotage of political opponents chance of diplomatic success ???? Is this really possible? Prove-able? Form of treason? Damage?) [[ Resource allocation for Diplomacy - Advocates / Detractors ? - Thomas Page

Spooks / Diplomats ratio at locations? American way? KGB way? ... ? [ 5 -5 Damned if you do damned if you don't try to carry on with the previous war on terror BS http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... [[ 5 -12 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... 5 -13 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... - Thomas Page

Diplomatic Toolbox http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... [ Art of War [[ Art of Peace ? [[ 1 -13 Fund_for_Peace http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... 1 - Thomas Page

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Rule of Law ( fuzzy sets ) Rules of War [ black and white trying to have your cake and eat it too [[ breaking the law but not at war , at war but not breaking the law ( Black Sea Snowy Peaks ) [[[ Lawfare weasels breaking rule of law and rules of war - Thomas Page

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Benjamin Franklin http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... [ 6 -15 Vietnam Peace http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... [[ UN and Vietnam? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... ? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... ? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... - Thomas Page

12 -21 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... [ sort http://projects.propublica.org/nsa-gri... - Thomas Page

6 -28 http://www.nytimes.com/interac... pre ww1 treaties http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... 8 -1 http://time.com/3069914... 8 -3 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... - Thomas Page

Martin_Indyk http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... Fouad_Ajami http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... 6 -28 Kissinger http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... [ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , Insurgency - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... / http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... - Thomas Page

9 -5 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... charlie rose show http://www.charlierose.com/watch... or http://www.bloomberg.com/video... - Thomas Page

9 -12 more Kissinger ... 9 -13 instincts , eye for eye mentality ? [[[[[[[ 12 -15 NIXONIANS , J McCarthy , J Birch {[( The One True Way Thinktanks http://www.sourcewatch.org/index... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , Lawfare, Hubris-Arogance http://www.booktv.org/Program... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... ? 12 -16 http://friendfeed.com/citizen... 2 -15 sort Hudson_Institute http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... - Thomas Page

? Nixons party sabotaging Humphries party [ Reagan party sabotaging Carter [[ ? party sabotaging ? Party {{{ ??? [[[[[[[ 11 -15 Political Appointees vs Pros ? , Diplomats vs Spooks ? 1 -26 http://www.huffingtonpost.com/joe-cir... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... - Thomas Page

Breadbaskets http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... 8 -30 The International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights (ICESCR) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... is a multilateral treaty adopted by the United Nations General Assembly on 16 December 1966, and in force from 3 January 1976.[1] It commits its parties to work toward the granting of economic, social, and cultural rights (ESCR) to the Non-Self-Governing and Trust Territories and individuals, including labour rights and the right to health, the right to education, and the right to an adequate standard of living. As of 2014, the Covenant had 162 parties.[3] A further seven countries, including the United States of America, had signed but not yet ratified the Covenant. United States – [[[[[[[ ~ Amnesty International writes that "The United States signed the Covenant in 1979 under the Carter administration but is not fully bound by it until it is ratified. For political reasons, the Carter administration did not push for the necessary review of the Covenant by the Senate, which must give its 'advice and consent' before the US can ratify a treaty. The Reagan and George H.W. Bush administrations took the view that economic, social, and cultural rights were not really rights but merely desirable social goals and therefore should not be the object of binding treaties. The Clinton Administration did not deny the nature of these rights but did not find it politically expedient to engage in a battle with Congress over the Covenant. The George W. Bush administration followed in line with the view of the previous Bush administration."[64] The Obama Administration stated "The Administration does not seek action at this time" on the Covenant.[65] The Heritage Foundation, a critical conservative think tank, argues that signing it would obligate the introduction of policies that it opposes such as universal health care.[66] - Thomas Page

2 -9 Breadbasket-Russia http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... 2 -15 sort http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://www.c-span.org/search... - Thomas Page

Caliphate http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... - Thomas Page

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PBS News hour [ Hadley http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... , Haass http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... ... http://www.pbs.org/newshou... 9 -20 sort http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... 9 -23 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... 2 -15 booktv Christopher Hill talked about his book, Outpost: Life on the Frontlines of American Diplomacy, about his career as a diplomat. http://www.c-span.org/video... - Thomas Page

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Media ability (will) to narrate (< word? >With clarity consistency credibility ... Coherant . [ needs to regulate self , standards of _ , compliance , corrective evaluations ... - Thomas Page

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12 -17 http://rt.com/news... [ Cuba ... - Thomas Page

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12 -29 American Law, European Law, World Law ... ??? - Thomas Page

Convention http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... [ vention ? inter, in ... [[ sort http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... Sound of Music http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... [[[ Swiss Culture http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... Geneva http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... - Thomas Page

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http://www.democracynow.org/2015... http://m.thenation.com/authors... http://www.slate.com/article... ? - Thomas Page

GPS Middle East Terror and Retaliation; New Cold War with Russia? Understanding Putin Aired February 8, 2015 - 10:00 ET http://transcripts.cnn.com/TRANSCR... ZAKARIA: Steve, when it all happened, and we were talking, you did predict that Putin, that this is core to Putin and to Russia. And you see it, I assume, somewhat differently in the sense that you see this as essentially a kind of core Russian national security interest. STEPHEN COHEN, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... SENIOR FELLOW BROOKINGS INSTITUTION: Well, the other Steve and I fundamentally disagree. First of all, let's say where the it is, where we are at now. We are in a new Cold War, the crypt is crypt, we may be approaching a war with Russia, Ukraine is in ruins East and West. Europe is split, this probably will last, it may be a fracture in the Transatlantic Alliance. I think - and I speak as a historian and somebody who has followed this for years because it began a while ago. Putin did not initiate this crisis, he did not want it. It's bad for him, contrary to Steve, and he wants it ended. But he's not going to end it on terms of capitulation. The argument that if we arm Kiev and that train we have led the station, there is a lot of movement in that direction, will only make things worse. There is a way out. But the only people at a statesmen level who seem interested in exploring that way out are President Hollande and Chancellor Merkel and they are not very strong. The war parties in Washington, Kiev and NATO are now running this and we literally may be heading, as I told you in February, I think, to an a Cuban missile crisis-like confrontation with Russia. ZAKARIA: Chrystia, you have a long piece in "Prospect" magazine, the time is, what does Putin want? So, what's the answer? What does he want? CHRYSTIA FREELAND, MEMBER OF THE CANADIAN PARLIAMENT: Well, just falling out from what Steve has said, I think the key to understanding Putin is ultimately what he wants is power and money. Putin ultimately established it -- and Bill knows this very well -- a personal kleptocracy in Russia. That's what he was about. But for the first 14 years, Putin was lucky because he was able to do as the Russians say, rule like Stalin, but live like Abramovich. Roman Abramovich, the Russian oligarch who owns Chelsea. So, like if you think in the mind of an autocrat, perfect world, right? You can have - you know, go on yachts in the Mediterranean, have London football clubs but also authoritarian at home. Putin's problem had been even before the Ukraine crisis, this was breaking down somewhat because the Russian economy wasn't working. It wasn't delivering the results needed to sustain this. He was looking for some other source of legitimacy. Yanukovych, the ousted Ukrainian president partly offered that. He could have a sort of mini Putin meaning cleptocracy next door reinforce him a little bit. What he's discovered now, I think somewhat to his surprise, I don't think he has a master plan, I think it's been tactical, is he can use extreme nationalism as a new source of legitimacy. The thing is, it's not going to last. This is a house of cards. ZAKARIA: Bill, paint a picture of the Russian economy. You know this economy backwards and forwards. You were the most successful investor in Russia. What does the Russian economy today look like and why is what I assume, is a somewhat bleak picture, why is it not deterring Putin. BIL BROWDER, CEO, HERMITAGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT: Well, the Russian economy is one big -- it's a crook sitting at a gas station. It's a world gas station, it's all they do. That if you break it down, I think more than half of all the revenues in Russia come from fuel exports. And if you add on aluminum, steel, et cetera. So, they don't make stuff that people want to buy. Anything that they consume has to come from the West. And so, in addition to all the problems that they have with sanctions and capital flight, they also have the problem, which was totally unintended, it wasn't like the Western policymakers organize this, but the price of oil has collapsed. It's gone down by half. And so, it's created a really bad situation. And so, so what's happened in Russia, is that everybody is trying to get their money out as fast as they can. The ruble has devalued by more than 50 percent. So, if you're a Russian citizen buying your consumer goods, they are twice as expensive as they were before. And so, this war wasn't created as a - this war was created as Christya said, as a distraction from the cleptocracy, but now he's got to create - keep on doing this war and invade other countries, probably, to keep a distraction going from the economic problems. ZAKARIA: When we come back we're going to talk more about this new Cold War and also about Bill Browder's fascinating story of his battle against the Russian state when we come back. (COMMERCIAL BREAK) ZAKARIA: And we are back with Stephen Cohen, Stephen Sestanovich, Chrystia Freeland and Bill Browder. You said earlier, Steve Cohen that you thought we were in a ?old War. And it certainly seems like that when you listen to some of the rhetoric of Russian planes flying over the English Channel. You know, these are bombers. Do the Russians really have an appetite for something like this? I mean Russia is today 2.5 percent of global GDP. This is not the Soviet Union. COHEN: If by Russia you mean the Russian people, they have no appetite for this. Neither does the American people. This is something given to us by the elites of two countries. Not only are we in a new Cold War, but it's potentially much more dangerous than the last one. Because the center of this Cold War is right on Russia's border, it's not in Berlin, in Ukraine. It's existential. When you hear already Russian generals talking about the possibility of using tactical nuclear weapons, you know that Russia is, shall we say, stressed. The problem here in part are the remarks about Putin. Something strange has happened. The demonization of Putin, which is beyond any factual basis, leads to a kind of amnesia among people here who should know better. The cleptocracy, and that's not a characteristic of the Russian economy, they had the biggest grain bumper crop in decades this year. They manufacture a lot of stuff. If they are dependent on minerals as they are, blame God, not Putin. The fact is this economic system was created by Yeltsin, Mr. Browder knows that, he worked in Russia at that time. Miss Freeland knows that because she wrote one of the best books about this. But suddenly it's about Putin, he inherited this system. But something has happened here. This vilification of Putin, I've been doing this -- I'm probably the oldest person at this table - I've been following Russia since the '60s. I do not recall this kind of official public vilification, referring to the Russian leader as a Hitler, which is completely incorrect that ever having been done to a Soviet communist leader, at least after Stalin. And the result is a kind of analysis you're hearing here. It's all about Putin. There's no Russia. Russia has no agency. But here is the point. Henry Kissinger said back in March of last year the demonization of Putin is not a policy, it's an alibi for not having a policy. But it's worse than what Dr. Kissinger has said, it's completely obscured. It's degraded, any kind of rational analysis of this country as to who is to blame for this and how we get out of it. And the result is as we talk -- as we talk, and this is not idle rhetoric, we may be hurtling toward actual war with Russia. ZAKARIA: So, I mean partly there's an interesting test of international relations theory here, which is, you know, when a country, when a leader faces fewer - it has fewer resources, faces more constraints, faces more pressure, does he back down or does he lash out? Right? And so far, I mean certainly on the upside the argument has been that as oil revenues have increased, Putin's ambitions have grown over the last 15 years, right? I mean that's been the general thesis, that when Russia needed debt forgiveness in 2000, Putin was nice. And Bush said I looked into his eyes and saw his soul. So, why wouldn't that work? Why wouldn't the fact that oil revenues are declining make him more cautious, make him more accommodating? FREELAND: I would say two things. You know, first of all, maybe contrary to a lot of international relations theory. I think that the domestic nature of the regime matters and it makes a difference. A Democratic Russia did and would behave differently from an increasingly authoritarian Russia. To the point about oil revenue, I think that we shouldn't be deceived by Putin's bluster, by his ability as he and his ministers proudly say -- these are guys who proudly say we can take casualties, we can take losses, but we shouldn't be deceived by that to believe this is the Soviet Union and that this is a very strong regime. Their economy is weak. I think there are internal pressures on Putin right now. His cronies, the sort of the Putin oligarchs are really unhappy. And I think there is - you know, the Russian bourgeoisie is now destroyed, all of those hopes in the middle class - So I do think that Putin didn't want to get here, he thought it was all going to be simple, he thought Yanukovych was going to join his customs union and it was all going to be fine. And then he did Crimea, I think impulsively. It worked better than he thought and he just has kind of kept on going since then. ZAKARIA: So a lot of the conversation has been about Putin, the personal nature of his regime, him as a person. You've battled in a way personally with this regime. He's talked about you personally. What are the conclusions you come - you know, what's your conclusion in reading of the regime based on the struggles you recount in your book? BROWDER: Well, first of all, Putin is entirely rational. He doesn't do anything irrationally, he's just operating with the different set of motives and constraints than we are. So, the first thing that you have to understand about Putin, is throw all morality out the window when it comes to his decision making. He will kill people, he will start wars, he will destroy the Russian population, if it enhances his position, if it makes him wealthier or saves him from being arrested. What this whole Ukrainian situation is about, is an extension of everything else he's been doing. He started out as a kleptocrat, who wanted to accumulate as much money as he could. And then all of a sudden he found himself in this position where Russian people were starting to get mad at him. And it got to the point where he was afraid that he was going to suffer the same fate as Yanukovych, if he didn't change the whole narrative. So, he starts a war, which went really well with Crimea. And they are bombarding the Russian people with propaganda to tell them that the Ukrainians are fascist Nazis backed by America, and we have to fight against them. So, he started this war. He's got an 88 percent approval rating. All of a sudden everybody is in this nationalist fervor. He can't now just say, OK, thank you, I'll take my 88 percent and be done with it. He's got to keep the nationalist fervor going for this 88 percent. And that's when things started going horribly awry for him. Because going into eastern Ukraine wasn't going into Crimea. They are taking casualties. The Russian people don't want casualties, the economy is now crashing because of sanctions. ZAKARIA: Steve, a question to you. Do you believe that not only are we in a Cold War, but that there's a possibility of something worse? SESTANOVICH: I think we are getting toward a Cold war that meets a lot of the definitions that we used to have of the old one. It's taken on an ideological character. It involves tests of strength. It does involve a lot of elite hostility, involves a lot of uncertainty as to what each side wants. Whenever you've got a cold war, there's a danger that it can get hot. This is a dangerous situation in Ukraine. It calls for calm and resourceful and determined policy because it can get plenty worse than it is now. ZAKARIA: The most dangerous overall security situation since the end of the Cold war? SESTANOVICH: Clearly. ZAKARIA: On that happy note, thank you all. Fascinating conversation. Next on "GPS," we all know the tale of the emperor's new clothes. We will tell you the tale of the prime minister's new ties or the absence thereof when we come back. (COMMERCIAL BREAK) ZAKARIA: The Hurun Report published its 2015 global wish list this week. It brings me to my question. The U.S. and China have the first and second most billionaires in the world. What country is in third place? India, the United Kingdom, Russia, or Saudi Arabia? Stay tuned and we'll tell you the correct answer. This week's book of the week is William Browder's "Red Notice: a True Story of High Finance, Murder, and One Man's Fight for Justice. Browder writes surprisingly well for a financier and tells a gripping tale of his adventures, misadventures and now campaign against the Russian state. This is a real world thriller that sheds a harrowing light on the inner workings of the Russian government. Now for the last look. Last month Greece's left wing anti-austerity party swept to victory in the country's parliamentary elections. The new Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras came to power promising, quote, no more bailouts, no more submission, no more black mailing. People have noticed something else appears to be no more. Ties. Here he is being sworn in as prime minister and then running the country, meeting many important people, all without a tie. At least Prime Minister Matteo Renzi handed Tsipras a present this week, yes, an Italian tie. Tsipras reportedly said he would wear one when there was a viable solution for Europe's debt problem. Some critics have said this lack of appropriate clothing suggests an aversion to the establishment. But does the lack of a tie equate to a lack of respect? As others have noted if you consider the 2013 G 8 summit, a serious meeting didn't necessarily require ties as long as it was a group decision. And if you're an APEC leader, you have a different uniform, crazy shirts. The truth is if Tsipras can broker a deal where he gets debt forgiveness in return for pro-growth reforms, he could wear a toga and a crown of laurel leaves when he returns to Greece. The correct answer to the "GPS" challenge question is a, India, it has now surpassed both the U.K. and Russia to take third place according to Hurun's report. India now has 97 billionaires with Mukesh Ambani leading the group as India's richest person. And who is the world's richest person? That would be Bill Gates who will be on the show next week. Thanks to all of you for being part of my program. I will see you next week. - Thomas Page

Everything looks like a nail. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... McCain [ Angela_Merkel http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... 2 -10 Arrangements? Commonwealths? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki... Laws of not Possesion but commitments? [[ 2 -11 oligarchical syndicates private governments treaties not their forte ? Warlords - Thomas Page

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