"Model accurately explains why the waves of unrest that swept the world in 2008 and 2011 crashed when they did. The primary determinant was soaring food prices... a threshold for global food prices, if breached, would lead to worldwide unrest. Whenever the UN’s food price index climbs above 210, the conditions ripen for social unrest around the world. CSI doesn’t claim that any breach of 210 immediately leads to riots, obviously; just that the probability that riots will erupt grows much greater. For billions of people around the world, food comprises up to 80% of routine expenses. When prices jump, people can’t afford anything else; or even food itself. And if you can’t eat—or worse, your family can’t eat—you fight." http://goo.gl/3WNPm - Adriano

added kicker: "Because of climate change-exacerbated disasters “the average price of staple foods such as maize could more than double in the next 20 years compared with 2010 trend prices,” a new report from Oxfam reveals. That report details how the poor will be even more vulnerable to climate change-induced food price shocks than previously thought. After all, we’ve “loaded the climate dice,” as NASA’s James Hansen likes to say." \\ Oxfam: Extreme Weather, Extreme Food Prices http://goo.gl/fngkm - Adriano

FAO Food Price Index dataset via Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations: http://www.fao.org/worldfo... - Adriano